Do I walk away?

foreclosure-sign

Should I walk from my mortgage is a very common question right now.  People are wondering about the moral ethics behind walking away from a loan.  I have my thoughts about it.  I found this article on His blog.  He has a very interesting take on this situation.

This article is written by a guy named Mike Shedlock.

Businesses Advised To Walk Away

Before exploring legal advice being given to banks about walking away, let’s review one more time the Moral Obligations Of Walking Away.

In a nutshell I made a case that “business is business” and yes, I encourage people to walk away now if they are going to be forced to do it later anyway. I also encourage people to walk away if they are hugely underwater on their homes.

Banks knowingly and willingly gave homeowners a free PUT option when they financed homes at zero percent down. It’s just a business decision. Businesses break contracts all the time.

In the “moral Obligations” post I also claimed there would be a national referendum on walking away. A few days later an ABC Poll showed that US citizens decided that walking away from Iraq was the single most important thing we could do economically for the country.

The masses have finally caught on and that is one reason why I declared Obama: The Next President Of The United States.

Walking Away Retail Style

In Does The Shopping Center Economic Model Work? we took a look at trends in retail. Consider what Rob Plaza, Senior Equity Analyst for retail stocks at Zacks Investment Research said two days ago:

“Some companies are closing stores to increase profitability, some are doing it just to stay alive. A lot of retailers already had their plans for 2008 laid out, had already invested in signed leases, ground-breakings, pre-opening, etc, so they couldn’t just stop those new stores on a dime. Looking back on that, they’re going to wish they had just walked away and paid whatever it would have cost them to stop the process. ….. For the next decade, retailers are not going to have to open a brand new store because there’s going to be so many empty ones that need to be filled.”

The interesting thing from the morality standpoint is that some stores are walking away, not to stay in business but to increase profitability. Others wished they walked away right during construction to say costs. Are such decisions morality issues or business decisions?

Wilson’s Leather Walks Away From 160 Stores

“Sandi”, one of my readers, sent me a note this morning that Wilsons Leather will close up to 160 mall locations.

Wilsons The Leather Experts Inc. will close the majority of its 260 mall locations and cut more than 1,000 jobs, the clothing retailer said Friday.

Wilsons will keep 100 stores open, revamping them under a “Studio” concept focused on fashion accessories for women. All stores should be remodeled by August.

About 938 store-related jobs and 64 positions at the company’s corporate headquarters, overseas offices and distribution center in Brooklyn Park, Minn., will be cut.

Clearly Wilson’s Leather had contractual agreements on all those leases. Is there a morality issue here when they just walk away like that?

Banks advised to walk away from big deals

Today, the Financial Times is reporting Banks advised to walk away from big deals.

Leading banks are being advised that it would be cheaper to walk away from big buy-out deals than incur further losses on their funding commitments, increasing the chances that more high-profile private equity transactions will collapse.

This advice from lawyers contrasts with the conventional wisdom that banks would risk serious damage to their reputations if they were to drop out of deals.

But legal advisers argue that the break-up fees banks would owe in such cases would be far lower than the write-downs they would have to make on their loans, given the current cataclysmic conditions in the capital markets.

“It is the tipping point argument,” said a senior partner at one of the biggest private equity firms, who asked not to be named. “The banks have so many issues with their balance sheets that they are considering a new policy.”

Oh! The Morality!

Note the irony. Numerous programs are being put into place in an attempt by banks and mortgage holders to encourage home owners to stay debt slaves forever, while lawyers are advising banks to walk away from contracts and pay the penalty of loss of reputation.

Exactly how does this differ from homeowners choosing to walk away from their obligations with a price of “loss in reputation” otherwise known as a black mark on their credit score?

Here’s the answer: There is no difference, and that is precisely why all these programs to keep homeowners in their homes when it is a bad economic decision for them to stay, will fail.

“It is the tipping point argument,” said a senior partner at one of the biggest private equity firms, who asked not to be named said Mish, who was willing to be named. “The banks Consumers have so many issues with their balance sheets that they are considering a new policy.”

If it’s in your best interest to walk, and you are willing to pay the penalty price, then walk.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Demographic Changes or Buy The Right Stock?

In 3000 days, about two-thirds of the now-working population will be 60 years old or older.  We know this with certainty.  That only leaves one-third of the now-working population to pay for all of the government social programs like medicaid, medicare and social security.

Let’s ask a few questions about our future.

What about money flowing into the stock market?  If you take a look at the history of the market you would see that it is like a teeter-totter.  It goes up then down over and over.  From 1980 to 2000 there were only 4 negative years…Strange?  What could have caused that?  Maybe it could have been that 401ks were introduced in the early 80′s and the baby boomers were throwing a lot of money into them.  So what about the next 10 years?  There will be more money coming out of 401ks than going in due to retiring baby boomers.  So could the market go the opposite way in the future?

Haven’t we always been taught to start selling our stocks and going into cash as we get closer to retirement?  How might that then affect the stock market?

What about all the baby boomers selling their 5,000 square foot homes to down size into condos?  How could that affect the real estate market?

There are a lot of things we should consider about the future changes of our demographics.

We should get away from traditional thinking i.e. (Buy the right stock at the right time.)  We need to realize that the biggest impact of our financial futures will be the changing demographics on our country.

Here is an interesting news clip about the aging population…

http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/player/popup/?rn=3906861&cl=10749765&ch=4226723&src=news

Foreclosure…New Tax Consequences

New Publication From IRS on Foreclosures.

If you or anyone you know is facing foreclosure…Pass this on

Unfortunately foreclosure is very real to many people right now.

Click here to read…


http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p4681.pdf

Should I Invest In Salt Lake Real Estate?

Here is a good article written by a client of mine Nate Linnell, who is a realtor and investor. It is focused on residential real estate in the Salt Lake Area. I would love to hear all of your comments on what you think about the current market?

Want a GREAT BUY in Salt Lake County?

I have people asking me every day, “Nate, we see the market going crazy, is now a time to buy?” I’ve also had people ask me “Is the market going to go even lower?” So I thought I would take some time to answer these questions.

It is no secret that the market has turned in Salt Lake County. Total sales are down and prices have begun falling as well. In fact, here are some interesting facts regarding Salt Lake County Sales:

Jan 1 – April 15 2007 (SINGLE FAMILY AND CONDO UNITS)

Total Sales= 3,589

Total Homes Listed= 8,945

Average Sales Price=$270,100

Now lets look at the same info from January 1- April 15 of 2008

Total Sales= 2,075- This represents a 43% decrease

Total Listings= 9,561 – This represents a 7% increase

Average sales price= $267,300- Only a 1% decrease in sales price.

All this prove that inventory is up, and buyers are down. We call this a BUYERS MARKET.

So what do you do in a buyers market? YOU BUY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

What are the best deals?

Right now, in salt Lake County, the best deals are in the higher price ranges. If you are looking for your “Dream Home”, you can find it now, at a significant discount. For example:

11162 VIA BONITO DR This house is listed at $479,000, with over 5,000 square feet, in a beautiful South Jordan neighborhood. You could not BUILD this house for that price. It’s an AMAZING buy.

Not looking for a big home? How about an investment property? Something that will generate positive rental income? Check out this deal:

764 S Roberta Ave (245East)- This is a duplex that collects $1,200/mo rents- You can buy this for less than $180,000! You could not have touched this kind of a deal a year ago for less than $200K!

If you would like to get a daily list of “Deal of the Day”, please email me, at nlinnell@kw.com. I will send you the best deals I find every day.

Now is the time to be buying. It’s never been better. Interest rates are still VERY low!

No matter what you decide to do, right now is the PERFECT time to be buying a home in Salt Lake County.

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